2024

Right-Peopling the State: Nationalism, Historical Legacies, and Ethnic Cleansing in Europe, 1886-2020
Müller-Crepon, Carl, Guy Schvitz, and Lars-Erik Cederman.
Journal of Conflict Resolution.
The Future Is History: Restorative Nationalism and Conflict in Post-Napoleonic Europe
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Yannick Pengl, Luc Girardin, and Carl Müller-Crepon.
International Organization: 1–34.
Shaping States into Nations: The Effects of Ethnic Geography on State Borders
Müller-Crepon, Carl, Guy Schvitz, and Lars-Erik Cederman.
American Journal of Political Science.

2023

(UN-)Protected Elections –Left for Good? Withdrawal of United Nations Peacekeeping Operations and Its Effects on Violence During Electoral Periods in War-Affected Countries
Kissling, Jana R., and Hannah M. Smidt.
International Peacekeeping 30(2): 165–97.
War Did Make States: Revisiting the Bellicist Paradigm in Early Modern Europe
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Paola Galano Toro, Luc Girardin, and Guy Schvitz.
International Organization: 1–39.
Computational Approaches to Conflict Research from Modeling and Data to Computational Diplomacy
Cederman, Lars-Erik, and Luc Girardin.
Journal of Computational Science 72: 102112.
Nationalism and the Puzzle of Reversing State Size
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Luc Girardin, and Carl Müller-Crepon.
World Politics.

2022

Natural Resources, Inequality and Conflict
Ali, Hamid E., and Lars-Erik Cederman, eds.
eds. Hamid E. Ali and Lars-Erik Cederman. London: Palgrave Macmillan.
Mapping The International System, 1886-2017: The CShapes 2.0 Dataset
Schvitz, Guy, Seraina Rüegger, Luc Girardin, Lars-Erik Cederman, Nils Weidmann, and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch.
Journal of Conflict Resolution 66(1): 144–61.
Redemption through Rebellion: Border Change, Lost Unity, and Nationalist Conflict
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Seraina Rüegger, and Guy Schvitz.
American Journal of Political Science 66(1): 24–42.
Sharing Power, Securing Peace?
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Simon Hug, and Julian Wucherpfennig.
Cambridge University Press.
No Extraction Without Representation: The Ethno-Regional Oil Curse and Secessionist Conflict
Pengl, Yannick, and Lars-Erik Cederman.
In Natural Resources, Inequality and Conflict, eds. Hamid E. Ali and Lars-Erik Cederman. Cham: Springer International Publishing, 37–69.

2021

Refugees and Covid-19: Beyond Health Risks to Insecurity
Bohnet, Heidrun, and Seraina Rüegger.
Swiss Political Science Review 0(0).
Does Party Polarization Mobilize or de-Mobilize Voters? The Answer Depends on Where Voters Stand
Murias Munoz, Maria, and Bonnie M. Meguid.
Electoral Studies 70: 102279.
Globalization, Institutions, and Ethnic Inequality
Bormann, Nils-Christian, Yannick Pengl, Lars-Erik Cederman, and Nils Weidmann.
International Organization 75(3): 665–97.
From Claims to Violence: Signaling, Outbidding, and Escalation in Ethnic Conflict
Vogt, Manuel, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, and Lars-Erik Cederman.
Journal of Conflict Resolution 65(7–8): 1278–1307.
Empathy-Based Counterspeech Can Reduce Racist Hate Speech in a Social Media Field Experiment
Hangartner, Dominik, Gloria Gennaro, Sary Alasiri, Nicholas Bahrich, Alexandra Bornhoft, Joseph Boucher, Buket Buse Demirci, Laurenz Derksen, Aldo Hall, Matthias Jochum, Maria Murias Munoz, Marc Richter, Franziska Vogel, Salomé Wittwer, Felix Wüthrich, Fabrizio Gilardi, and Karsten Donnay.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118(50).
Roads to Rule, Roads to Rebel: Relational State Capacity and Conflict in Africa
Müller-Crepon, Carl, Philipp Hunziker, and Lars-Erik Cederman.
Journal of Conflict Resolution 65(2–3): 563–90.

2020

Utilization of Research Knowledge in Sustainable Development Pathways: Insights from a Transdisciplinary Research-for-Development Programme
Jacobi, J., A. Llanque, S. Bieri, E. Birachi, R. Cochard, N. Depetris Chauvin, C. Diebold, R. Eschen, E. Frossard, T. Guillaume, S. Jaquet, F. Kämpfen, M. Kenis, D.I. Kiba, H. Komarudin, J. Madrazo, G. Manoli, S.M. Mukhovi, V.T.H. Nguyen, C. Pomalègni, S. Rüegger, F. Schneider, N. TriDung, P. von Groote, M.S. Winkler, J.G. Zaehringer, and C Robledo-Abad.
Environmental Science & Policy 103: 21–29.
Who Benefits? How Local Ethnic Demography Shapes Political Favoritism in Africa.
Beiser-McGrath, Janina, Carl Müller-Crepon, and Yannick Pengl.
British Journal of Political Science, First View.
The Link Between Forced Migration and Conflict
Rüegger, Seraina, and Heidrun Bohnet.
In Environmental Conflicts, Migration and Governance: Exploring Interdependencies, eds. Tim Krieger, Diana Panke, and Michael Pregernig. Bristol University Press, 177–95.
Continuity or Change? (In)direct Rule in British and French Colonial Africa
Müller-Crepon, Carl.
International Organization 74(4): 707–41.
Linking Ethnic Data from Africa
Müller-Crepon, Carl, Yannick Pengl, and Nils-Christian Bormann.
Journal of Peace Research, forthcoming.

2019

Global Conflict Trends and Their Consequences
Pengl, Yannick, and Lars-Erik Cederman.
Power Sharing: Institutions, Behavior, and Peace
Bormann, Nils-Christian, Lars-Erik Cederman, Scott Gates, Benjamin A. T. Graham, Simon Hug, Kaare W. Strøm, and Julian Wucherpfennig.
American Journal of Political Science 63(1): 84–100.
Refugees and Violence: Introducing the Refugee-Related Security Incidence Dataset (RRSID)
Bohnet, Heidrun, and Seraina Rüegger.
Zeitschrift für Friedens- und Konfliktforschung.
Blood for Soil: The Fatal Temptations of Ethnic Politics
Cederman, Lars-Erik.
Foreign Affairs 98: 61–68.
Refugees, Ethnic Power Relations, and Civil Conflict in the Country of Asylum
Rüegger, Seraina.
Journal of Peace Research.

2018

New Spatial Data on Ethnicity: Introducing SIDE
Müller-Crepon, Carl, and Philipp Hunziker.
Journal of Peace Research. 55(5): 687–98.
SDM: A New Data Set on Self-Determination Movements with an Application to the Reputational Theory of Conflict
Sambanis, Nicholas, Micha Germann, and Andreas Schädel.
Journal of Conflict Resolution 62(3): 656–86.
The Ethnicity of Refugees (ER): A New Dataset for Understanding Flight Patterns
Rüegger, Seraina, and Heidrun Bohnet.
Conflict Management and Peace Science. 35(1): 65–88.

2017

Predicting the Decline of Ethnic Civil War: Was Gurr Right and For the Right Reasons?
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, and Julian Wucherpfennig.
Journal of Peace Research 54(2): 262–74.
No Extraction without Representation: The Ethno-Regional Oil Curse and Secessionist Conflict
Hunziker, Philipp, and Lars-Erik Cederman.
Journal of Peace Research 54(3): 365–81.
Language, Religion, and Ethnic Civil War
Bormann, Nils-Christian, Lars-Erik Cederman, and Manuel Vogt.
Journal of Conflict Resolution 61(4): 744–71.
Refugees and Conflict Diffusion
Rüegger, Seraina.
In Peace and Conflict 2017, eds. David Backer, Ravinder Bhavnani, and Paul Huth. London, UK: Routledge.
Inequalities Between Ethnic Groups, Conflict, and Political Organizations
Cederman, Lars-Erik, and Julian Wucherpfennig.
Ethnopolitics 16(1): 21–27.
The Diffusion of Inclusion: An Open Polity Model of Ethnic Power Sharing
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, and Julian Wucherpfennig.
Comparative Political Studies. Online First.
Predicting Armed Conflict: Time to Adjust Our Expectations?
Cederman, Lars-Erik, and Nils B. Weidmann.
Science 355(6324): 474–76.
Dynamics and Logics of Civil War
Cederman, Lars-Erik, and Manuel Vogt.
Journal of Conflict Resolution. 61(9): 1992–2016.

2016

Who Inherits the State? Colonial Rule and Postcolonial Conflict
Wucherpfennig, Julian, Philipp Hunziker, and Lars-Erik Cederman.
American Journal of Political Science. 60(4): 882–98.
Democracy, Ethnic Exclusion, and Civil Conflict: The Arab Spring Revolutions from a Global Comparative Perspective
Vogt, Manuel, Nils-Christian Bormann, and Lars-Erik Cederman.
In Peace and Conflict 2016, eds. David Backer, Ravinder Bhavnani, and Paul Huth. London, UK: Routledge.
Ulikhet, Eksklusjon Og Borgerkrig [Inequality, Exclusion, and Civil War]
Buhaug, Halvard, Lars-Erik Cederman, and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch.
Politica 48(1): 12–29.

2015

Militias in Civil War (Introduction to Special Issue)
Jentzsch, Corinna, Stathis N. Kalyvas, and Livia Isabella Schubiger.
Journal of Conflict Resolution 59(5): 755–69.
Integrating Data on Ethnicity, Geography, and Conflict: The Ethnic Power Relations Data Set Family
Vogt, Manuel, Nils-Christian Bormann, Seraina Rüegger, Lars-Erik Cederman, Philipp Hunziker, and Luc Girardin.
Journal of Conflict Resolution 59(7): 1327–42.
Triangulating Horizontal Inequality: Toward Improved Conflict Analysis
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Nils B. Weidmann, and Nils-Christian Bormann.
Journal of Peace Research 52(6): 806–21.
Geography, Outcome, and Casualties: A Unified Model of Insurgency
Schutte, Sebastian.
Journal of Conflict Resolution 59(6): 1101–28.
Civil Conflict in Petroleum Producing Regions
Hunziker, Philipp.
ETH Zurich.
Territorial Autonomy in the Shadow of Conflict: Too Little, Too Late?
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Simon Hug, Andreas Schädel, and Julian Wucherpfennig.
American Political Science Review 109(2): 354–70.
The Disarticulated Movement: Barriers to Maya Mobilization in Post-Conflict Guatemala
Vogt, Manuel.
Latin American Politics and Society 57(1): 29–50.

2014

Square Pegs in Round Holes: Inequalities, Grievances, and Civil War
Buhaug, Halvard, Lars-Erik Cederman, and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch.
International Studies Quarterly 58(2): 418–31.
The Causes and Consequences of Ethnic Power-Sharing
Bormann, Nils-Christian.
ETH Zurich.
Exploring Inequality and Ethnic Conflict: EPR-ETH and GROWup
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Luc Girardin, and Julian Wucherpfennig.
In Peace and Conflict 2014, eds. David A. Backer, Jonathan Wilkenfeld, and Paul K. Huth. Boulder, CO: Paradigm Publishers.

2013

Inequality, Grievances, and Civil War
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, and Halvard Buhaug.
New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.
Democratic Electoral Systems around the World, 1946-2011
Bormann, Nils-Christian, and Matt Golder.
Electoral Studies 32(2): 360–69.
Transborder Ethnic Kin and Civil War
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, Idean Salehyan, and Julian Wucherpfennig.
International Organization 67(2): 389.
Ethnic Mobilization, Equality and Conflict in Multi-Ethnics States
Vogt, Manuel.
ETH Zurich.
Conflict Actors in Motion: Refugees, Rebels and Ethnic Groups
Rüegger, Seraina.
ETH Zurich.
Elections and Ethnic Civil War
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Kristian Skrede Gleditsch, and Simon Hug.
Comparative Political Studies 46(3): 387–417.
Violence, Geography, and Mobilization: A Theory of Insurgency
Schutte, Sebastian.
ETH Zurich.

2012

Inequality and Conflict in Federations
Deiwiks, Christa, Lars-Erik Cederman, and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch.
Journal of Peace Research 49(2): 289–304.
Ethnicity, the State, and the Duration of Civil War
Wucherpfennig, Julian, Nils W. Metternich, Lars-Erik Cederman, and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch.
World Politics 64(1): 79–115.
Cooperation Beats Deterrence in Cyberwar
Sebastian, Schutte.
Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy 18(3).

2011

Politically Relevant Ethnic Groups across Space and Time: Introducing the GeoEPR Dataset
Wucherpfennig, Julian, Nils B. Weidmann, Luc Girardin, Lars-Erik Cederman, and Andreas Wimmer.
Conflict Management and Peace Science 28(5): 423–37.
Fighting for Change: Onset, Duration, and Recurrence of Ethnic Conflicts
Wucherpfennig, Julian.
ETH Zurich.
Optimization and Falsification in Empirical Agent-Based Models
Schutte, Sebastian.
Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 13(1).
Testing Clausewitz: Nationalism, Mass Mobilization, and the Severity of War
Cederman, Lars-Erik, T. Camber Warren, and Didier Sornette.
International Organization 65(4): 605–38.
Ethnofederalism: A Slippery Slope towards Secessionist Conflict?
Deiwiks, Christa.
ETH Zurich.
Diffusion Patterns of Violence in Civil Wars
Schutte, Sebastian, and Nils B. Weidmann.
Political Geography 30(3): 143–52.
Horizontal Inequalities and Ethnonationalist Civil War: A Global Comparison
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Nils B. Weidmann, and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch.
American Political Science Review 105(3): 478–95.

2010

The Geometry of Security: Modeling Interstate Alliances as Evolving Networks
Warren, T. Camber.
Journal of Peace Research 47(6): 697–709.
Representing Ethnic Groups in Space: A New Dataset
Weidmann, Nils B., Jan Ketil Rød, and Lars-Erik Cederman.
Journal of Peace Research 47(4): 491–99.
Patterns of Democracy and Its Critics
Bormann, Nils-Christian.
Living Reviews in Democracy 2.
Why Do Ethnic Groups Rebel? New Data and Analysis
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Andreas Wimmer, and Brian Min.
World Politics 62(1): 87–119.
Democratization and Civil War: Empirical Evidence
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Simon Hug, and Lutz F. Krebs.
Journal of Peace Research 47(4): 377–94.
Democratization and Ethno-Nationalist Civil War
Krebs, Lutz-Frederik.
ETH Zurich.
New Systems Theories of World Politics
Albert, Mathias, Lars-Erik Cederman, and Alexander Wendt, eds.
Palgrave Studies in International Relations eds. Mathias Albert, Lars-Erik Cederman, and Alexander Wendt. Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan.
Growing Sovereignty: Modeling the Shift from Indirect to Direct Rule
Cederman, Lars-Erik, and Luc Girardin.
International Studies Quarterly 54(1): 27–48.

2009

Democratisation and Conflict in Ethnically Divided Societies
Vorrath, Judith, and Lutz F. Krebs.
Living Reviews in Democracy 1(1).
Ethnic Politics and Armed Conflict: A Configurational Analysis
Wimmer, Andreas, Lars-Erik Cederman, and Brian Min.
American Sociological Review 74(2): 316–37.
Ethnonationalist Triads: Assessing the Influence of Kin Groups on Civil Wars
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Luc Girardin, and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch.
World Politics 61(3): 403–37.
Modernization and Democracy: Theories and Evidence Revisited
Wucherpfennig, Julian, and Franziska Deutsch.
Living Reviews in Democracy 1(1).
Ethno-Nationalist Dyads and Civil War: A GIS-Based Analysis
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Halvard Buhaug, and Jan Ketil Rød.
Journal of Conflict Resolution 53(4): 496–525.
Introduction to Special Issue on ‘Disaggregating Civil War’
Cederman, Lars-Erik, and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch.
Journal of Conflict Resolution 53(4): 487–95.
Populism
Deiwiks, Christa.
Living Reviews in Democracy 1(1).

2008

Disaggregating Ethno-Nationalist Civil Wars: A Dyadic Test of Exclusion Theory
Buhaug, Halvard, Lars-Erik Cederman, and Jan K. Rød.
International Organization 62(3): 531–51.
GeoContest: Modeling Strategic Competition in Geopolitical Systems
Weidmann, Nils B., and Lars-Erik Cederman.
Social Science Computer Review 26(4): 510–18.
Democratization and War in Political Science
Cederman, Lars-Erik, Simon Hug, and Andreas Wenger.
Democratization 15(3): 509–24.
Critical Configurations: Settlement Patterns and Ethnic Violence
Weidmann, Nils Benedikt.
ETH Zurich.
Articulating the Geo-Cultural Logic of Nationalist Insurgency
Cederman, Lars-Erik.
In Order, Conflict, and Violence, eds. Stathis N. Kalyvas, Ian Shapiro, and Tarek Masoud. New York: Cambridge University Press, 242–70.

2007

Toward Realistic Computational Models of Civil Wars
Cederman, Lars-Erik, and Luc Girardin.
In Paper prepared for presentation at the Annual Meeting of the American Political.
Linking Ethnic Conflict & Democratization: An Assessment of Four Troubled Regions
Vorrath, Judith, Lutz F. Krebs, and Dominic Senn.
NCCR Democracy Working Paper No. 6.
Trust and Social Cohesion
Krebs, Lutz F.
A Roadmap to Realistic Computational Models of Civil Wars
Girardin, Luc, and Lars-Erik Cederman.
In Advancing Social Simulation: The First World Congress, eds. Shingo Takahashi, David Sallach, and Juliette Rouchier. Tokyo: Springer, 59–69.
Introducing GROWLab: A Toolkit for Layered Agent-Based Modeling
Weidmann, Nils, and Luc Girardin.
In AGENT 2007 Conference, Chicago, IL,.
Beyond Fractionalization: Mapping Ethnicity onto Nationalist Insurgencies
Cederman, Lars-Erik, and Luc Girardin.
American Political Science Review 101(1): 173–85.
A Comment on Eder and Trenz
Cederman, Lars-Erik.
In Debating the Democratic Legitimacy of the European Union, eds. Beate Kohler-Koch and Berthold Rittberger. Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield.
Ethnicity, Political Leaders and Violence
Krebs, Lutz F.

2006

GROWLab: A Toolbox for Social Simulation
Weidmann, Nils, and Luc Girardin.
In First World Congress on Social Simulation,.

2005

Technical Note: Evaluating Java Development Kits for Agent-Based Modeling
Weidmann, Nils B., and Luc Girardin.
Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 8(2).
Computational Models of Social Forms: Advancing Generative Process Theory
Cederman, Lars-Erik.
American Journal of Sociology 110(4): 864–93.
Transnational Communication and the European Demos
Cederman, Lars-Erik, and Peter A. Kraus.
In Digital Formations : IT and New Architectures in the Global Realm, eds. Robert Latham and Saskia Sassen. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

2004

Conquest and Regime Change: An Evolutionary Model of the Spread of Democracy and Peace
Cederman, Lars-Erik, and Kristian Skrede Gleditsch.
International Studies Quarterly 48(3): 603–29.

2001

Constructing Europe’s Identity: The External Dimension
Cederman, Lars-Erik.
Boulder, Co: Lynne Rienner.

1997

Emergent Actors in World Politics: How States and Nations Develop and Dissolve
Cederman, Lars-Erik.
Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.